Good Morning. Trump wants Greenland. NATO says invasion ends the alliance. We break down the Arctic standoff.

We also share Brazil's crypto playbook, Harbaugh's shocking firing, and xAI's massive $20B raise (forwarded this email? Join 523k readers).

Secretary of State Marco Rubio told lawmakers Monday that Trump administration threats against Greenland don't signal imminent invasion. The goal is purchasing the island from Denmark. Officials haven't ruled out using military force.

Trump discussed buying Greenland in his first term but has become more insistent. NATO members warn an American attack would end the alliance. Denmark has offered more troops and mining rights while investing billions in security (video: the challenge of Greenland’s resources).

Six European leaders joined Denmark's prime minister Tuesday calling for collective allied action on Arctic security. Frederiksen warned NATO would collapse if one member attacked another. Most Greenlanders oppose US annexation.

Investors holding Venezuelan bonds saw major gains Monday after Maduro's ouster. Venezuela's 11.75% bond jumped to 42 cents on the dollar from 32.50 Friday. Firms including Fidelity and T. Rowe Price have held tens of billions in underwater debt.

U.S. investors once held $50 billion of Venezuelan debt before many sold. Some who stayed saw prices quintuple since 2023 when sanctions eased. Venezuela must now restructure an estimated $100 billion including obligations to China.

Acting president Delcy Rodríguez said she's ready to work with the U.S. government. Investors hope a friendlier regime enables debt restructuring and access to Wall Street or IMF funding. Venezuela's future governance remains highly uncertain.

Brazil established comprehensive crypto regulations including licensing frameworks and standardized tax rules with exemptions for transactions under $7,000 monthly. Its Pix instant payment system reached 150 million users (70% of population) and integrates seamlessly with crypto platforms.

U.S. regulators previously treated crypto skeptically with SEC lawsuits and banking restrictions. The tide shifted with Bitcoin ETF approvals and Trump's crypto-friendly stance. American exchanges remain caught between multiple agencies with unclear jurisdictional lines (lessons from Brazil’s crypto success).

Mainstream Brazilian banks including Itaú, Nubank and BTG now offer crypto services to millions. U.S. FedNow adoption remains limited with only hundreds of 9,000 institutions participating. Congress is developing the Clarity Act for unified federal crypto framework.

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Podcast | Notes

▲ John Harbaugh fired by Ravens after playoff miss with seven teams calling within 45 minutes

▲ Ford dealerships can't fill 5,000 mechanic jobs paying $160,000 with median starting salary only $58,580

▲ Iran protests spread to 17 of 31 provinces with 35 killed since December 28 currency devaluation

▲ xAI funding reaches $20 billion exceeding $15 billion target valuing Musk's AI startup at $230 billion | Grok nudity outrage

▲ Hilton franchise removed after Minneapolis hotel again denied DHS booking in viral video

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